Office

Office

NAIOP Market Monitor

By: Maria Sicola, Elle Saling and Charles Warren
July 18, 2024

The NAIOP Market Monitor provides insights into shifting market conditions and capital flows across the United States. The report’s findings can help investors and developers identify regional trends and markets that align with their risk and return objectives or warrant further examination. The 2024 NAIOP Market Monitor indicates a continuation of several post-pandemic trends in office and industrial real estate markets.

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Office Space Demand Forecast, Second Quarter 2024

By: Hany Guirguis, Ph.D., Manhattan College and Joshua Harris, Ph.D., CRE, CAIA, Fordham University
June 6, 2024

The office market performed worse in the first quarter of 2024 than previously forecast, with national office net absorption totaling a negative 13.4 million square feet. Office utilization has remained relatively flat since the beginning of the year as evidenced by building-access records. A reversal in optimism about the economy in late 2023 may have led firms to pause or scale back expansion plans. Elevated interest rates are constraining corporate earnings and firms’ ability to expand their operations, which appears likely to continue, at least in the near term. Given these trends and the possibility of a recession in 2024, net office space absorption over the last three quarters of 2024 is expected to be negative 11.8 million square feet. Moving forward, the forecast projects that net absorption will increase slightly in 2025 and will total approximately negative 4.5 million square feet.

Hybrid

Hybrid Work and the Future of Office: Adapting to a New Paradigm in Occupier Demand

By: Emil Malizia, Ph.D., CRE, Shawn Moura, Ph.D., Dustin C. Read, Ph.D./J.D., Jessica Morin and Julie Whelan
August 17, 2023

The NAIOP Research Foundation commissioned this report to examine the current state of hybrid work and how it affects the office sector. The study draws from survey and market data provided by CBRE to explore how occupiers are approaching their use of office space, and the building locations, features and amenities they prioritize.

New Uses for Office Buildings: Life Science, Medical and Multifamily Conversions

By: Emil Malizia, Ph.D., CRE
March 3, 2022

The NAIOP Research Foundation commissioned this report to evaluate the risks and opportunities associated with office building conversions. The author conducted a review of recent publications and market data on office conversions and interviewed developers, architects and other commercial real estate professionals to provide an overview of the key considerations that go into converting an office building to a life science, medical office or multifamily use.

A Two-Dimensional Approach to Evaluating Commercial Real Estate Markets

By: Maria Sicola, Charles Warren, Ph.D., and Megan Weiner, CityStream Solutions, LLC
August 30, 2021

A new NAIOP Research Foundation report by Maria Sicola, Charles Warren, Ph.D., and Megan Weiner builds on last year\u0026rsquo;s report on market tier and ranking systems by describing a two-dimensional approach to evaluating and comparing commercial real estate markets. The report examines 15 years of market data to test multiple two-dimensional models for evaluating the 50 largest industrial and office markets in the United States.

Working Together as a Team: Negotiating With Tenants and Leasing Space During COVID-19

By: Shawn Moura, Ph.D., Director of Research, NAIOP
August 10, 2020

This research brief draws from interviews with brokers and building owners, news sources, NAIOP webinars, and NAIOP survey data to identify best practices for triaging office and industrial tenant requests, offering reasonable accommodations to those tenants who need short-term assistance, and responding to uncooperative tenants. The brief also examines how owners are adapting the ways they show and lease space to new tenant preferences and safety expectations.

Using Capital Improvements to Create Competitive Advantage in the COVID-19 Era

By: Dustin C. Read, Ph.D./J.D., Associate Professor, Virginia Tech and Sam Kuprianov, undergraduate Real Estate major, Virginia Tech
July 28, 2020

This brief evaluates the merits of frequently discussed capital investments and their potential to create durable competitive advantages. It draws from an analysis of recent coverage in commercial real estate trade publications, as well as conversations with seven industry practitioners that took place in June 2020.

Navigating a Safe Return to Work: Best Practices for U.S. Office Building Owners and Tenants

By: Shawn Moura, Ph.D., Director of Research, NAIOP
June 8, 2020

Measures to contain the coronavirus outbreak temporarily slowed economic activity and dramatically reduced occupancies at many commercial buildings. As state and local governments outline plans for a phased reopening of the economy, office building owners and employers are formulating plans that will allow employees to return safely to work.

A New Look at Market Tier and Ranking Systems

By: Maria Sicola, Charles Warren, Ph.D., and Megan Weiner, CityStream Solutions, LLC
March 17, 2020

Dividing and grouping the major metropolitan regions of the United States into ranked groups or “tiers” is a frequently used method to evaluate, prioritize and rank markets for investment. This project provides an understanding of the origins, methodologies and uses of market tier models.

Profiles in the Evolution of Suburban Office Parks

By: Dustin C. Read, Ph.D./J.D.
August 21, 2019

The NAIOP Research Foundation commissioned this report to identify ways that firms are revitalizing suburban office parks through redevelopment, rehabilitation and adaptive reuse. The author interviewed five developers who have recently updated suburban office parks in the United States and Canada to learn how they made these properties relevant for today’s market.

Beacons and Sensors in Commercial Real Estate

By: NAIOP Research Foundation
December 6, 2018

This brief provides an overview of some of the ways that simple, tiny, affordable and ubiquitous sensors are being used in commercial real estate settings. It addresses radio-frequency identification, geofencing, beacon technology, and WELL™ and RESET™ technologies, and it concludes with the broader challenges associated with using networked digital data-collection systems.

The Office Property and Big Data Puzzle: Putting the Pieces Together

By: Kimberly Winson-Geideman, Ph.D., Senior Lecturer, Property, University of Melbourne, Melbourne School of Design, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
August 31, 2018

The use of big data offers great potential, while it also presents challenges. This white paper seeks to define big data and to identify some of the obstacles and opportunities associated with it in the context of managing office properties. It includes a general overview of the topic as well as examples of how property managers are collecting and analyzing data within their office properties.

Activating Office Building Common Spaces for Competitive Advantage

By: Richard B. Peiser, Ph.D. and Raymond G. Torto, Ph.D., Harvard University, Graduate School of Design, Cambridge, Massachusetts
November 8, 2017

To remain competitive and accelerate lease up, office building owners are enlivening their buildings with common area amenities and programming.

Preferred Office Locations: Comparing Location Preferences and Performance of Office Space in CBDs, Suburban Vibrant Centers and Suburban Areas

By: Emil Malizia
November 7, 2014

Where do today’s office tenants want to be located? This comprehensive study, which combines expert opinion and accurate property-level data, provides reliable information about emerging location preferences across major U.S. office markets and the comparative performance of office space in CBDs, suburban vibrant centers — defined as amenity-rich, mixed-use, “live, work, play” locations — and typical single-use suburban areas.

Workplace Innovation Today: The Coworking Center

By: Andrea P. Foertsch, Founder, Disruptive Space; Principal, Melrose Real Estate Strategies; Visiting Lecturer, Baker Program in Real Estate, Cornell University
January 16, 2014

Picture an office filled with people. But imagine that some of them are freelance writers, graphic designers, programmers and app developers; others are teleworkers; still others are in the process of forming startup companies or working for very small firms. The office may simply be a large room where people work at couches, tables and bench desks, or it may contain carrels, cubicles, private offices and even classrooms or auditoriums. What is this place? It is a coworking center.

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Spatial Penetration and Performance of LEED Ratings & Certification Levels Among Office Buildings

By: Dr. Sofia Dermisi, Roosevelt University
April 1, 2011

This paper focuses on class A and B office buildings across the U.S. with 50,000 square feet or more and has a threefold goal: i) provide an overview of the office building distribution among the ratings and certification levels from the inception of the USGBC until today; ii) examine the spatial penetration of the ratings and certification levels across the mainland U.S. states and iii) examine closely the rent and vacancy performance of LEED-EB before and after their designation while controlling for the latest financial crisis.

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The Commercial Office Market and the Markup for Full Service Leases

By: Jonathan A. Wiley and Thomas M. Springer, Clemson University
April 1, 2011

Because landlords assume all of the operating expense risk, rents for gross leases exceed those for triple-net leases. The markup for gross leases varies between properties and across markets. In this study, we develop a theory explaining the spread between gross and triple-net rents for office space across urban markets.

Rooftop Revenue: Making Underutilized Space Profitable Through Energy Harvesting

By: Marci DeVries, Soleil Solar
August 1, 2010

This white paper helps owners/developers make a decision about which (if any) energy-harvesting devices to install on their properties. Commercial real estate property owners will find a wealth of information on installations, maintenance, reliability and financial returns.

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Effect of Past Crises on US Downtown Office Property Income and Expenses

By: Dr. Sofia Dermisi, Roosevelt University
April 1, 2010

Economic, real estate, oil and other crises can cause significant lack of confidence and recessions, which eventually affect office markets. This paper studies past crises and their effects on downtown office market trends across the U.S. and is pivotal in the estimation of current short and medium-term market responses.

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Going Green: Tips, Tools and Examples from the Field

By: Abigail C. Johnson, Abacus Property Solutions
March 1, 2009

This research report identified various green strategies that can be used to improve the sustainability of a building while still meeting return-on-investment objectives. Included in the report are recommendations concerning: vehicular pavement; pedestrian pavement; irrigation; windows; roof; HVAC; and interior lighting.

Predictors

Predictors of Commercial Real Estate Development

By: Andrew G. Mueller and Dr. Glenn R. Mueller, University of Denver
January 1, 2009

This research identified the economic indicators that drive new development of commercial real estate for each property type at the national and MSA level. These indicators will help with forecasting: future demand for space and leasing; competition in specific markets and across property types; and more accurate feasibility studies for future projects.

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Assessing Key Employment Trends Driving Commercial Real Estate Development

By: Dr. Donald Jud, University of North Carolina at Greensboro
September 1, 2009

This report explains the relationship between key employment trends and the demand for office and industrial space. Drawing on Bureau of Labor Statistics data from 2000-2009, the research indicated: central-city counties vs. metropolitan fringe counties, the effect of the recession beginning in 2007 and factors influencing change in growth patterns.

Flat

Commercial Real Estate in a Flat World

By: David Pearce Snyder
November 1, 2007

This research examined how infomating, outsourcing, home-basing, off-shoring/in-shoring, e-learning and e-tailing - can be expected to impact the staffing and facilities (and ultimately, the demand for space) of five major classes of enterprise in the five sustainable markets: retail trade; professional, scientific and technical services; employment services; finance, insurance and banking; and transportation and warehousing.

Value Property Premium: Is It Risker?

By: Kwame Addae-Dapaah, National University of Singapore and Paul Asabere, Temple University
April 1, 2008

This study revisits the value property premium anomaly by premising analysis on Tokyo office property market data from 1997Q1 to 2007Q3; which shows that property investors could substantially improve their portfolio performance by investing in value office properties.

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