Autonomous Vehicles will Drive Change in CRE

Autonomous Vehicles

The widespread adoption of Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) will have a significant implications for commercial real estate, with impact on land use regulations and in turn, the built environment.

NAIOP Research Foundation Distinguished Fellow David Dale-Johnson, Ph.D. has written a report entitled, “Preparing for Autonomous Vehicles: A Survey of Local Governments.” The research report, published by the NAIOP Research Foundation, examines how eight localities in the United States, Canada and Australia are planning for the deployment of fully-automated vehicles.

Dale-Johnson conducted interviews during the fall and spring of 2018 with community leaders working in the urban transportation realm from Edmonton, Canada; Arlington County, Virginia; Grand Rapids and Detroit, Michigan; Boston, Massachusetts; Chandler, Arizona; and the state of Victoria, Australia. Dale-Johnson found that although the localities were in different planning stages, most of the participants estimated that AVs, primarily for commercial use, would be deployed within the next 10 to 15 years.

For these cities, AVs are part of larger mobility strategies that will improve transportation safety and efficiency. Several respondents stated that in order to reap the benefits of driverless technology, such as reduced traffic congestion and less land devoted to parking, AVs should be used on a shared or group basis. Shuttles, ridesharing and fleet services will reduce the number of cars on the road and more effectively use resources than vehicles owned by individuals. Additionally, many of the respondents believe that curb management strategies will increase while parking demand will significantly decrease.

The final report is scheduled to be released in July 2019. Visit naiop.org/research to view the latest Foundation research reports, white papers and forecasts.